Migration Review 2012/13

Article

This briefing reviews the migration trends and policy changes in 2012 and looks forward to possible developments in 2013. Next year will be a crucial one for the government because they will be more than halfway through the parliament during which they has pledged to reduce net immigration to the 'tens of thousands'.

In 2013, we expect:

  • Further significant falls in non-EU student immigration
  • Continued steady declines in non-EU immigration for work and family reasons
  • A modest increase in immigration from the EU
  • A small increase in asylum claims
  • Rising net emigration by UK nationals, and modest increases in emigration by non-EU nationals

The briefing shows that net migration will fall to around 140,000 next year, following a fall of over 25% in the year to March 2012. But net migration will begin to rise again in 2014, although final figures for that year will not be available until after the 2015 General Election.

Related items

  1. Spring statement: A changed world calls for a changed course

    If there are decades where nothing happens and there are weeks where decades happen, the last few weeks feel seismic.  The prime minister was right to say the world has changed. Donald Trump’s re-election in November has unleashed a wave…

  2. 2030 and beyond: Great British Energy's role in the green transition

    The UK government created Great British Energy to help deliver secure, clean and affordable electricity.
  3. Two teenage girls can be seen from behind wearing blue school blazers working out a maths equation on a whiteboard

    Who is losing learning? Finding solutions to the school engagement crisis

    An alarming number of children are missing out on the social and educational benefits of school.